OSUSC Podcast #132: OPTIMA Jim – OUSCI Points Prediction: Who (Could Be) In and Who (Could Be) Out!

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The OSUSC Podcast – Episode #132

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Welcome to the Optima Search For the Ultimate Street Car Series Podcast! This show is produced twice-per-month show and will be a great way to keep people informed on everything going on, from rules discussions, to event coverage, and to feature interviews with competitors and people of interest!

The show is hosted by myself (Rob Kibbe) and Race Director Jimi Day. Our goal is to bring you all of the latest and greatest information possible…plus have plenty of fun along with way. Feel free to e-mail us with feedback and questions, and we’ll work as many of them can into the show!

-Rob Kibbe (mailto:robert@themusclecarplace.com) & Jimi Day (jimi@driveusca.com)

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Rob Kibbe

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Jimi Day

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Welcome Forgeline!

forgeline-keating-large_image-630We are incredibly proud to announce that Forgeline Motorsports has also returned to the OSUSC Podcast show for 2021! Forgeline has been a staple among OSUSC competitors, and their incredible wheels are as well engineered (and race tested) as they are beautiful.

Stay tuned to future shows to hear more from Forgline, and be sure to visit their website and give them a call for all of your competition wheel needs!

www.forgeline.com
Phone: (800) 886-0093

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OPTIMA Jim inspects Thomas Litton’s Mazda at UMC.

OPTIMA Jim:

The Moneyball Points Breakdown to OUSCI!

We have a *little* time now before our next event at Road America so we asked OPTIMA Jim to come on to provide his insight and analysis on current OSUSC points standings. Specifically, knowing where we are now…and guessing what we can about the remaining events, this is the breakdown of where point standings may fall for people to both gain their way into OUSCI via an event win or points positioning.

Special thanks to Jim for making time in his schedule to do this. The following article was posted to a recent article on Bangshift.com…..so enjoy readying (and listening) to Jim make it all clear!

-Rob & “OPTIMA” Jim!

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<Reposted from Bangshift.com>

In an effort to predict who might make the cut in the final two events of the season, we’ll go through each of the classes in this series, starting with the Classic Car Liquidators GTV Class. The following projections are ONLY ESTIMATES and we mention that in caps, because every time we run one of these stories, someone skims past that important sentence and pitches a fit that the information is wrong or from a previous season. These predictions could end up wrong, but they are definitely about the 2021 season.

In the GTV Class, we predict the Camaros of Jason Bottenfield and Jim Stehlin will pick up the final two class entries of the season at events. That’s a big “IF,” because Danny King, Randy Johnson and Larry Woo could all show up with very potent Camaros and grab one of those invitations at either event. If that doesn’t happen and Stehlin & Bottenfield capture the invitations, we’d predict Wayne Atkins, Charles Davis and Ryan Breezee would capture the three class invitations, with Breezee’s actual point total of 1,241 points being the cut-off for those class invitations (the two ahead of him are based on estimates of how they’ll finish out the season).

The newly-formed No-Limit Engineering GTT may offer the easiest path to Las Vegas, as relatively-few entries mean more opportunities in a series where at least ten entries from each class will earn an invitation. There are also several unknowns, as Tyler Gibson’s IH Scout is about 50/50 on running at Road America as of this writing and Jesse Vaughn and Robb MacGregor’s C10s could run either or both events.

Operating on the assumption that one of those three will take the Road America invitation and Matthew Mielczarek’s C10 takes the invitation at NCM Motorsports Park, that would offer class invitations to Geoge Dias’ Lightning, David Hollis’ C10 and Williams McDonald’s Silverado, with the cut-off for points being just 602 for McDonald at this point in time.

Clay Shearer’s potent Porsche is the wildcard for the GTS Class, as it is currently signed up to run in the final two events and would likely grab an invitation at one of them, based on it’s past history of doing so. If Shearer only runs at NCM, we expect Richard Forsythe’s Corvette to take the invitation at Road America. That would leave Tim Grant’s Corvette (if he can get parts in time), Thomas Marquez’s Impreza and Gunnison Jones’ Corvette as the recipients of class invitations, which Jones at the bump spot with an estimate 1,269 points following his upcoming run at Road America.

Chad Sage’s Porsche is our predicted winner in the Holley EFI GTL Class at Road America, with Paul Curley expected to take the win in Kentucky. That scenario would result in Gregg Matthews’ Corvette, Troy delaHoussaye’s TT-RS and Cary Hegna’s Corvette receiving the class invitations.

The GTC Class looks to be a dogfight to the championship in the final two rounds, with some pretty stout competitors in John Laughlin’s S2000 and James Garfield’s Civic Type-R expected to earn class invitations to Las Vegas. If that scenario plays out, then the three class invitations could fall to Dayton delaHoussaye’s MX-5, Thomas Litton’s Miata and Steve Wong’s Civic, with 915 points for the third and final GTC Class invite.

Finally, we’ll take a look at the largest and most-competitive class in the series, the GT Class for late-model musclecars. We expect Robert Weathers’ Camaro and Luke Vigneault’s Challenger to pick up the invitations at the final two events. If that happens, we could see the GT Class invitations going to Matt Ramirez’s Mustang, Clayton Yates’ Camaro and Matt Ales’ M3, which has already posted 1,255 points on the season.

Now that we’ve run through the projected final class invitations, who is projected to grab the final ten at-large invitations? Read on, but keep in mind, most of these cars still have a lot of work to do, to gather up these projected point totals. The first five at-large entries would go to:

Ray Ellsworth 2008 Dodge Viper 1249 GTS
Andy Voelkel 2020 Chevrolet Corvette 1239 GTS
Jesse Shaffer 2015 Chevrolet SS 1233 GT
Austin Keys 2002 Subaru WRX 1234 GTS
Rob Ellsworth 1997 Dodge Viper 1230 GTS

The last five projected OUSCI at-large entries would go to:

August Falkner 2021 Chevrolet Camaro 1210 GT
Danny Weller 2017 Chevrolet Camaro 1185 GT
Bill Haynie 2013 Ford Mustang 1185 GT

Paul Bulski 1971 Buick GS 1176 GTV
Robert Britton 1965 Ford Mustang 1157 GTV

In past seasons, the points cut-off for entry was closer to 1,000 points, so why is it looking significantly higher in 2021? Two events in particular, Willow Springs and NOLA Motorsports Park, both offered more points than many competitors have typically seen in past years. The final three events of the regular season were all sold-out and packed with very high-caliber vehicles, so it’s quite possible these projected point totals could shrink back closer to that 1,000-point cut-off we’ve seen in past years, but the same names would likely be in the mix, provided they all run and perform as expected. There are also two Summit Racing Spirit of the Event invitations to be handed out, which could move everyone up one or two spots, depending on who receives those invitations. With that in mind, let’s take a look at the projected first five out:

Carl Roeger 1968 Chevrolet El Camino 1155 GTV
Bret Voelkel 2020 Chevrolet Corvette 1144 GTS

Andrew Scott 1987 Buick Grand National 1143 GTV
Vernon Jolley 2019 Chevrolet Corvette 1117 GTS
Koda Atwood 2018 Chevrolet Camaro 1100 GT

We’ll also include the next five after this group, just in case folks in that group or beyond were wondering how close they might be to getting an invitation and deciding whether changes to their upcoming schedules were warranted:

Al Radonski 2008 Chevrolet Corvette 1095 GTS
Christine Crutcher 2019 Chevrolet Corvette 1089 GTS

David Yadon 1984 Chevrolet Camaro 1089 GTV
Frankie Trutanic 1986 Buick Regal 1059 GTV
Lori Collett 2018 Chevrolet Camaro 1047 GT

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